Mortality-Air Pollution Associations in Low Exposure Environments (MAPLE): Phase 2.

INTRODUCTION: Mortality is associated with long-term exposure to fine particulate matter (particulate matter ≤2.5 µm in aerodynamic diameter; PM2.5), although the magnitude and form of these associations remain poorly understood at lower concentrations. Knowledge gaps include the shape of concentration-response curves and the lowest levels of exposure at which increased risks are evident and the occurrence and extent of associations with specific causes of death. Here, we applied improved estimates of exposure to ambient PM2.5 to national population-based cohorts in Canada, including a stacked cohort of 7.1 million people who responded to census year 1991, 1996, or 2001. The characterization of the shape of the concentration-response relationship for nonaccidental mortality and several specific causes of death at low levels of exposure was the focus of the Mortality-Air Pollution Associations in Low Exposure Environments (MAPLE) Phase 1 report. In the Phase 1 report we reported that associations between outdoor PM2.5 concentrations and nonaccidental mortality were attenuated with the addition of ozone (O3) or a measure of gaseous pollutant oxidant capacity (Ox), which was estimated from O3 and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations. This was motivated by our interests in understanding both the effects air pollutant mixtures may have on mortality and also the role of O3 as a copollutant that shares common sources and precursor emissions with those of PM2.5. In this Phase 2 report, we further explore the sensitivity of these associations with O3 and Ox, evaluate sensitivity to other factors, such as regional variation, and present ambient PM2.5 concentration-response relationships for specific causes of death. METHODS: PM2.5 concentrations were estimated at 1 km2 spatial resolution across North America using remote sensing of aerosol optical depth (AOD) combined with chemical transport model (GEOS-Chem) simulations of the AOD:surface PM2.5 mass concentration relationship, land use information, and ground monitoring. These estimates were informed and further refined with collocated measurements of PM2.5 and AOD, including targeted measurements in areas of low PM2.5 concentrations collected at five locations across Canada. Ground measurements of PM2.5 and total suspended particulate matter (TSP) mass concentrations from 1981 to 1999 were used to backcast remote-sensing-based estimates over that same time period, resulting in modeled annual surfaces from 1981 to 2016.Annual exposures to PM2.5 were then estimated for subjects in several national population-based Canadian cohorts using residential histories derived from annual postal code entries in income tax files. These cohorts included three census-based cohorts: the 1991 Canadian Census Health and Environment Cohort (CanCHEC; 2.5 million respondents), the 1996 CanCHEC (3 million respondents), the 2001 CanCHEC (3 million respondents), and a Stacked CanCHEC where duplicate records of respondents were excluded (Stacked CanCHEC; 7.1 million respondents). The Canadian Community Health Survey (CCHS) mortality cohort (mCCHS), derived from several pooled cycles of the CCHS (540,900 respondents), included additional individual information about health behaviors. Follow-up periods were completed to the end of 2016 for all cohorts. Cox proportional hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated for nonaccidental and other major causes of death using a 10-year moving average exposure and 1-year lag. All models were stratified by age, sex, immigrant status, and where appropriate, census year or survey cycle. Models were further adjusted for income adequacy quintile, visible minority status, Indigenous identity, educational attainment, labor-force status, marital status, occupation, and ecological covariates of community size, airshed, urban form, and four dimensions of the Canadian Marginalization Index (Can-Marg; instability, deprivation, dependency, and ethnic concentration). The mCCHS analyses were also adjusted for individual-level measures of smoking, alcohol consumption, fruit and vegetable consumption, body mass index (BMI), and exercise behavior.In addition to linear models, the shape of the concentration-response function was investigated using restricted cubic splines (RCS). The number of knots were selected by minimizing the Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC). Two additional models were used to examine the association between nonaccidental mortality and PM2.5. The first is the standard threshold model defined by a transformation of concentration equaling zero if the concentration was less than a specific threshold value and concentration minus the threshold value for concentrations above the threshold. The second additional model was an extension of the Shape Constrained Health Impact Function (SCHIF), the eSCHIF, which converts RCS predictions into functions potentially more suitable for use in health impact assessments. Given the RCS parameter estimates and their covariance matrix, 1,000 realizations of the RCS were simulated at concentrations from the minimum to the maximum concentration, by increments of 0.1 µg/m3. An eSCHIF was then fit to each of these RCS realizations. Thus, 1,000 eSCHIF predictions and uncertainty intervals were determined at each concentration within the total range.Sensitivity analyses were conducted to examine associations between PM2.5 and mortality when in the presence of, or stratified by tertile of, O3 or Ox. Additionally, associations between PM2.5 and mortality were assessed for sensitivity to lower concentration thresholds, where person-years below a threshold value were assigned the mean exposure within that group. We also examined the sensitivity of the shape of the nonaccidental mortality-PM2.5 association to removal of person-years at or above 12 µg/m3 (the current U.S. National Ambient Air Quality Standard) and 10 µg/m3 (the current Canadian and former [2005] World Health Organization [WHO] guideline, and current WHO Interim Target-4). Finally, differences in the shapes of PM2.5-mortality associations were assessed across broad geographic regions (airsheds) within Canada. RESULTS: The refined PM2.5 exposure estimates demonstrated improved performance relative to estimates applied previously and in the MAPLE Phase 1 report, with slightly reduced errors, including at lower ranges of concentrations (e.g., for PM2.5 <10 µg/m3).Positive associations between outdoor PM2.5 concentrations and nonaccidental mortality were consistently observed in all cohorts. In the Stacked CanCHEC analyses (1.3 million deaths), each 10-µg/m3 increase in outdoor PM2.5 concentration corresponded to an HR of 1.084 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.073 to 1.096) for nonaccidental mortality. For an interquartile range (IQR) increase in PM2.5 mass concentration of 4.16 µg/m3 and for a mean annual nonaccidental death rate of 92.8 per 10,000 persons (over the 1991-2016 period for cohort participants ages 25-90), this HR corresponds to an additional 31.62 deaths per 100,000 people, which is equivalent to an additional 7,848 deaths per year in Canada, based on the 2016 population. In RCS models, mean HR predictions increased from the minimum concentration of 2.5 µg/m3 to 4.5 µg/m3, flattened from 4.5 µg/m3 to 8.0 µg/m3, then increased for concentrations above 8.0 µg/m3. The threshold model results reflected this pattern with -2 log-likelihood values being equal at 2.5 µg/m3 and 8.0 µg/m3. However, mean threshold model predictions monotonically increased over the concentration range with the lower 95% CI equal to one from 2.5 µg/m3 to 8.0 µg/m3. The RCS model was a superior predictor compared with any of the threshold models, including the linear model.In the mCCHS cohort analyses inclusion of behavioral covariates did not substantially change the results for both linear and nonlinear models. We examined the sensitivity of the shape of the nonaccidental mortality-PM2.5 association to removal of person-years at or above the current U.S. and Canadian standards of 12 µg/m3 and 10 µg/m3, respectively. In the full cohort and in both restricted cohorts, a steep increase was observed from the minimum concentration of 2.5 µg/m3 to 5 µg/m3. For the full cohort and the <12 µg/m3 cohort the relationship flattened over the 5 to 9 µg/m3 range and then increased above 9 µg/m3. A similar increase was observed for the <10 µg/m3 cohort followed by a clear decline in the magnitude of predictions over the 5 to 9 µg/m3 range and an increase above 9 µg/m3. Together these results suggest that a positive association exists for concentrations >9 µg/m3 with indications of adverse effects on mortality at concentrations as low as 2.5 µg/m3.Among the other causes of death examined, PM2.5 exposures were consistently associated with an increased hazard of mortality due to ischemic heart disease, respiratory disease, cardiovascular disease, and diabetes across all cohorts. Associations were observed in the Stacked CanCHEC but not in all other cohorts for cerebrovascular disease, pneumonia, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) mortality. No significant associations were observed between mortality and exposure to PM2.5 for heart failure, lung cancer, and kidney failure.In sensitivity analyses, the addition of O3 and Ox attenuated associations between PM2.5 and mortality. When analyses were stratified by tertiles of copollutants, associations between PM2.5 and mortality were only observed in the highest tertile of O3 or Ox. Across broad regions of Canada, linear HR estimates and the shape of the eSCHIF varied substantially, possibly reflecting underlying differences in air pollutant mixtures not characterized by PM2.5 mass concentrations or the included gaseous pollutants. Sensitivity analyses to assess regional variation in population characteristics and access to healthcare indicated that the observed regional differences inconcentration-mortality relationships, specifically the flattening of the concentration-mortality relationship over the 5 to 9 µg/m3 range, was not likely related to variation in the makeup of the cohort or its access to healthcare, lending support to the potential role of spatially varying air pollutant mixtures not sufficiently characterized by PM2.5 mass concentrations. CONCLUSIONS: In several large, national Canadian cohorts, including a cohort of 7.1 million unique census respondents, associations were observed between exposure to PM2.5 with nonaccidental mortality and several specific causes of death. Associations with nonaccidental mortality were observed using the eSCHIF methodology at concentrations as low as 2.5 µg/m3, and there was no clear evidence in the observed data of a lower threshold, below which PM2.5 was not associated with nonaccidental mortality.

Sagittal alignment of the cemented femoral component in revision total knee arthroplasty influences the anterior and posterior condylar offset: Stem length does not affect these variables.

BACKGROUND: The position of the femoral component can influence knee kinematics by altering the posterior (PCO) and anterior condylar offset (ACO). The primary aim of this study was to assess whether the length of the cemented stem influences the sagittal position of the femoral component after revision total knee arthroplasty (rTKA). The secondary aim was to determine the influence of the sagittal position on PCO and ACO. METHODS: There were 172 consecutive patients over a seven-year period that underwent rTKA with a cemented semi-constrained prosthesis. The 172 patients were separated into two groups: 115 with short stems (50 mm) and 57 with longer stems (100 or 150 mm). Using rotationally acceptable lateral radiographs, the degree of flexion(+)/extension(-) of the femoral components, PCO, and ACO were measured. RESULTS: There was no significant difference (p > 0.25) between the two groups for sagittal position, PCO, or ACO. The average flexion of the femoral component with short stems was 2.2 ±â€¯4.1° and 2.2 ±â€¯3.4° for long stems (difference = 0.0, 95% confidence intervals (CI) -1.3 to 1.2). The average PCO ratio was 1.02 ±â€¯0.15 for short stems and 0.99 ±â€¯0.17 for long stems (difference = 0.03, 95% CI -0.02 to 0.08). The average ACO ratio was at 0.07 ±â€¯0.08 for short stems and 0.08 ±â€¯0.08 for long stems (difference = 0.01, 95% CI -0.01 to 0.04). There was a significant correlation between sagittal alignment of the femoral component and PCO (flexion increased PCO, r = 0.39, p < 0.0001) and ACO (flexion decreased ACO, r = -0.34, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Cemented stem length does not influence the position of femoral component in the sagittal axis, PCO, or ACO. Surgical technique and sizing of the femoral component may be more predictive.

Communication regarding routine childhood vaccination.

Vaccine hesitancy is an emerging problem in South Africa (SA), which threatens to erode the country's immunisation achievements. Communication interventions may be an effective strategy for addressing vaccine hesitancy. We highlight a Cochrane review of qualitative evidence that explored parents' views and experiences of communication regarding childhood vaccinations, and provide implications for practice that are relevant to the SA context. The findings suggest that healthcare providers (HCPs) play a central role in childhood vaccination attitudes and decision-making. Therefore, capacitating HCPs to promote vaccination with confidence is key to effective communication to address vaccine hesitancy in SA.

The effects of wildfire severity and pyrodiversity on bat occupancy and diversity in fire-suppressed forests.

Wildfire is an important ecological process that influences species' occurrence and biodiversity generally. Its effect on bats is understudied, creating challenges for habitat management and species conservation as threats to the taxa worsen globally and within fire-prone ecosystems. We conducted acoustic surveys of wildfire areas during 2014-2017 in conifer forests of California's Sierra Nevada Mountains. We tested effects of burn severity and its variation, or pyrodiversity, on occupancy and diversity for the 17-species bat community while accounting for imperfect detection. Occupancy rates increased with severity for at least 6 species and with pyrodiversity for at least 3. Two other species responded negatively to pyrodiversity. Individual species models predicted maximum occupancy rates across burn severity levels but only one species occurred most often in undisturbed areas. Species richness increased from approximately 8 species in unburned forests to 11 in pyrodiverse areas with moderate- to high-severity. Greater accessibility of foraging habitats, as well as increased habitat heterogeneity may explain positive responses to wildfire. Many bat species appear well adapted to wildfire, while a century of fire suppression and forest densification likely reduced habitat quality for the community generally. Relative to other taxa, bats may be somewhat resilient to increases in fire severity and size; trends which are expected to continue with accelerating climate change.

Effects of fossil fuel and total anthropogenic emission removal on public health and climate.

Anthropogenic greenhouse gases and aerosols are associated with climate change and human health risks. We used a global model to estimate the climate and public health outcomes attributable to fossil fuel use, indicating the potential benefits of a phaseout. We show that it can avoid an excess mortality rate of 3.61 (2.96-4.21) million per year from outdoor air pollution worldwide. This could be up to 5.55 (4.52-6.52) million per year by additionally controlling nonfossil anthropogenic sources. Globally, fossil-fuel-related emissions account for about 65% of the excess mortality, and 70% of the climate cooling by anthropogenic aerosols. The chemical influence of air pollution on aeolian dust contributes to the aerosol cooling. Because aerosols affect the hydrologic cycle, removing the anthropogenic emissions in the model increases rainfall by 10-70% over densely populated regions in India and 10-30% over northern China, and by 10-40% over Central America, West Africa, and the drought-prone Sahel, thus contributing to water and food security. Since aerosols mask the anthropogenic rise in global temperature, removing fossil-fuel-generated particles liberates 0.51(±0.03) °C and all pollution particles 0.73(±0.03) °C warming, reaching around 2 °C over North America and Northeast Asia. The steep temperature increase from removing aerosols can be moderated to about 0.36(±0.06) °C globally by the simultaneous reduction of tropospheric ozone and methane. We conclude that a rapid phaseout of fossil-fuel-related emissions and major reductions of other anthropogenic sources are needed to save millions of lives, restore aerosol-perturbed rainfall patterns, and limit global warming to 2 °C.

Patellofemoral arthroplasty versus total knee arthroplasty for patients with patellofemoral osteoarthritis: equal function and satisfaction but higher revision rate for partial arthroplasty at a minimum eight years' follow-up.

AIMS: The primary aim of this study was to compare the knee-specific functional outcome of patellofemoral arthroplasty with total knee arthroplasty (TKA) in the management of patients with patellofemoral osteoarthritis. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 54 consecutive Avon patellofemoral arthroplasties were identified and propensity-score-matched to a group of 54 patients undergoing a TKA with patellar resurfacing for patellofemoral osteoarthritis. The Oxford Knee Score (OKS), the 12-Item Short-Form Health Survey (SF-12), and patient satisfaction were collected at a mean follow up of 9.2 years (8 to 15). Survival was defined by revision or intention to revise. RESULTS: There was no significant difference in the mean OKS (p > 0.60) or SF-12 scores (p > 0.28) between the groups. There was a lower rate of satisfaction at the final follow-up for the TKA group (78% vs 87%) but this was not statistically significant (odds ratio 0.56, p = 0.21). Length of stay was significantly shorter (p = 0.008) for the Avon group (difference 1.8 days, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.4 to 3.2). The ten-year survival for the Avon group was 92.3% (95% CI 87.1 to 97.5) and for the TKA group was 100% (95% CI 93.8 to 100). This difference was not statistically significant (log-rank test, p = 0.10). CONCLUSION: Patients undergoing an Avon patellofemoral arthroplasty have a shorter length of stay, and a functional outcome and rate of satisfaction that is equal to that of TKA. The benefits of the Avon arthroplasty need to be balanced against the increased rate of revision when compared with TKA.

Early functional outcomes after condylar-stabilizing (deep-dish) versus standard bearing surface for cruciate-retaining total knee arthroplasty.

AIMS: The primary study aim was to compare early knee-specific function of patients undergoing cemented total knee arthroplasty (TKA) with either a cruciate-retaining (CR) polyethylene insert or a highly congruent condylar-stabilizing (CS) insert. Secondary aims were to compare general health and satisfaction between the groups. METHODS: A total of 418 consecutive primary TKAs were identified retrospectively. Demographics and preoperative and 1-year postoperative patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) were collected prospectively. PROMs consisted of Oxford Knee Scores, EuroQol-5 Dimensions scores, and Short Form-12 scores. RESULTS: A total of 54 (12.9%) patients received a CS insert and 364 patients received a CR TKA. The CS group had a significantly (odds ratio (OR) 2.9; p = 0.002) greater proportion of females (77.8% versus 54.9%). The only significant difference in postoperative PROMs was a higher Short Form-12 physical component score in the CR group (difference 3.1; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.1 to 6.1; p = 0.04). Linear regression analysis demonstrated no significant difference for all postoperative PROMs (p > 0.25). There was no significant difference in satisfaction rate (OR 0.94; 95% CI 0.42 to 2.12; p = 0.56) or pain visual analogue score (difference 6.1; 95% CI -1.9 to 14.0; p = 0.14) between the groups. CONCLUSION: More congruent CS inserts have equivalent PROMs and patient satisfaction at 1 year compared with less congruent CR inserts. These represent an option for surgeons undertaking TKA where increased congruency is desired.

Mortality-Air Pollution Associations in Low-Exposure Environments (MAPLE): Phase 1.

INTRODUCTION: Fine particulate matter (particulate matter ≤2.5 µm in aerodynamic diameter, or PM2.5) is associated with mortality, but the lower range of relevant concentrations is unknown. Novel satellite-derived estimates of outdoor PM2.5 concentrations were applied to several large population-based cohorts, and the shape of the relationship with nonaccidental mortality was characterized, with emphasis on the low concentrations (<12 µg/m3) observed throughout Canada. METHODS: Annual satellite-derived estimates of outdoor PM2.5 concentrations were developed at 1-km2 spatial resolution across Canada for 2000-2016 and backcasted to 1981 using remote sensing, chemical transport models, and ground monitoring data. Targeted ground-based measurements were conducted to measure the relationship between columnar aerosol optical depth (AOD) and ground-level PM2.5. Both existing and targeted ground-based measurements were analyzed to develop improved exposure data sets for subsequent epidemiological analyses.Residential histories derived from annual tax records were used to estimate PM2.5 exposures for subjects whose ages ranged from 25 to 90 years. About 8.5 million were from three Canadian Census Health and Environment Cohort (CanCHEC) analytic files and another 540,900 were Canadian Community Health Survey (CCHS) participants. Mortality was linked through the year 2016. Hazard ratios (HR) were estimated with Cox Proportional Hazard models using a 3-year moving average exposure with a 1-year lag, with the year of follow-up as the time axis. All models were stratified by 5-year age groups, sex, and immigrant status. Covariates were based on directed acyclical graphs (DAG), and included contextual variables (airshed, community size, neighborhood dependence, neighborhood deprivation, ethnic concentration, neighborhood instability, and urban form). A second model was examined including the DAG-based covariates as well as all subject-level risk factors (income, education, marital status, indigenous identity, employment status, occupational class, and visible minority status) available in each cohort. Additional subject-level behavioral covariates (fruit and vegetable consumption, leisure exercise frequency, alcohol consumption, smoking, and body mass index [BMI]) were included in the CCHS analysis.Sensitivity analyses evaluated adjustment for covariates and gaseous copollutants (nitrogen dioxide [NO2] and ozone [O3]), as well as exposure time windows and spatial scales. Estimates were evaluated across strata of age, sex, and immigrant status. The shape of the PM2.5-mortality association was examined by first fitting restricted cubic splines (RCS) with a large number of knots and then fitting the shape-constrained health impact function (SCHIF) to the RCS predictions and their standard errors (SE). This method provides graphical results indicating the RCS predictions, as a nonparametric means of characterizing the concentration-response relationship in detail and the resulting mean SCHIF and accompanying uncertainty as a parametric summary.Sensitivity analyses were conducted in the CCHS cohort to evaluate the potential influence of unmeasured covariates on air pollution risk estimates. Specifically, survival models with all available risk factors were fit and compared with models that omitted covariates not available in the CanCHEC cohorts. In addition, the PM2.5 risk estimate in the CanCHEC cohort was indirectly adjusted for multiple individual-level risk factors by estimating the association between PM2.5 and these covariates within the CCHS. RESULTS: Satellite-derived PM2.5 estimates were low and highly correlated with ground monitors. HR estimates (per 10-µg/m3 increase in PM2.5) were similar for the 1991 (1.041, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.016-1.066) and 1996 (1.041, 1.024-1.059) CanCHEC cohorts with a larger estimate observed for the 2001 cohort (1.084, 1.060-1.108). The pooled cohort HR estimate was 1.053 (1.041-1.065). In the CCHS an analogous model indicated a HR of 1.13 (95% CI: 1.06-1.21), which was reduced slightly with the addition of behavioral covariates (1.11, 1.04-1.18). In each of the CanCHEC cohorts, the RCS increased rapidly over lower concentrations, slightly declining between the 25th and 75th percentiles and then increasing beyond the 75th percentile. The steepness of the increase in the RCS over lower concentrations diminished as the cohort start date increased. The SCHIFs displayed a supralinear association in each of the three CanCHEC cohorts and in the CCHS cohort.In sensitivity analyses conducted with the 2001 CanCHEC, longer moving averages (1, 3, and 8 years) and smaller spatial scales (1 km2 vs. 10 km2) of exposure assignment resulted in larger associations between PM2.5 and mortality. In both the CCHS and CanCHEC analyses, the relationship between nonaccidental mortality and PM2.5 was attenuated when O3 or a weighted measure of oxidant gases was included in models. In the CCHS analysis, but not in CanCHEC, PM2.5 HRs were also attenuated by the inclusion of NO2. Application of the indirect adjustment and comparisons within the CCHS analysis suggests that missing data on behavioral risk factors for mortality had little impact on the magnitude of PM2.5-mortality associations. While immigrants displayed improved overall survival compared with those born in Canada, their sensitivity to PM2.5 was similar to or larger than that for nonimmigrants, with differences between immigrants and nonimmigrants decreasing in the more recent cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: In several large population-based cohorts exposed to low levels of air pollution, consistent associations were observed between PM2.5 and nonaccidental mortality for concentrations as low as 5 µg/m3. This relationship was supralinear with no apparent threshold or sublinear association.

Survival of the low contact stress rotating platform total knee replacement is influenced by age: 1058 implants with a minimum follow-up of 10 years.

BACKGROUND: The low contact stress (LCS) mobile-bearing total knee replacement (TKR) was designed to minimise polyethylene wear, aseptic loosening and osteolysis. However, registry data suggests there is a significantly greater revision rate associated. The primary aim of this study was to assess long-term survivorship of the LCS TKR performed at a single high-volume centre. Secondary aims were to assess survival by mechanism of failure and identify predictors of revision. METHODS: During a 13-year period (1993-2006) 1091 LCS TKRs were performed by two senior surgeons. Thirty-three with incomplete data were excluded. The patients were retrospectively identified from an arthroplasty register. Mean age was 69 (range 30-96) years. Five hundred seventy-seven TKRs were performed in females, 481 in males. Mean follow-up was 14 years (SD 4.3). RESULTS: There were 59 revisions during the study period: 14 (23.7%) for infection, 18 (30.5%) for instability, and 27 (45.8%) for polyethylene wear. Three hundred ninety-two patients died. All-cause survival at 10 years was 95% (95%CI 91.7-98.3) and at 15 years was 93% (95%CI 88.6-97.8). Survival at 10 years according to mechanism of failure was: infection 99% (95%CI 94-100%), instability 98% (95%CI 94-100%), and polyethylene wear 98% (95%CI 92-100). Of the 27 with polyethylene wear, only 19 (70.4%) had osteolysis requiring component revision, the other eight (29.6%) had polyethylene exchanges. Cox regression analysis identified younger age as the only predictor of revision (HR 0.96, 95%CI 0.94-0.99, p = 0.003), with a four percent decreased risk of revision for each increase in year of age. CONCLUSIONS: The LCS TKR demonstrates excellent long-term survivorship with a low rate of revision for osteolysis, however this risk is increased in younger patients.

Human papillomavirus vaccination acceptance and hesitancy in South Africa: Research and policy agenda.

Cervical cancer is responsible for one-quarter of a million deaths per year worldwide. In South Africa (SA), cervical cancer is the leading cause of cancer deaths among women aged 15 - 44 years. Human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines provide a safe and highly effective means to reduce the burden of cervical cancer. The World Health Organization initiated a plan for the elimination of cervical cancer; the programme's success relies on the introduction and high uptake of HPV vaccines globally. SA introduced a school-based HPV vaccination programme in 2014, but uptake is not as high as expected. Suboptimal HPV vaccination coverage may result from various factors, including vaccine hesitancy. Vaccine-hesitant parents may delay or refuse HPV vaccination for their daughters. Tailored interventions are needed to address this. However, knowledge regarding vaccine hesitancy and policies to address this hesitancy in SA are currently limited. While SA has taken commendable steps in cervical cancer prevention by implementing and financing the HPV vaccination programme, it is imperative that there are clear policies in place to help strengthen the programme. These policies need to clarify areas of uncertainty that may lead to mistrust, and pre-empt factors that will cause hesitancy. Equally important is that local research should be conducted to better understand HPV vaccination hesitancy and other determinants of uptake to further inform and shape national policies.

Increased frequency of CD45 negative T cells (T zone cells) in older Golden retriever dogs.

T zone lymphoma (TZL) is characterized by the clonal expansion of T cells lacking expression of the pan-leukocyte antigen CD45 (TZ cells). A strong breed predisposition is observed in Golden retrievers. This study aimed to confirm aberrant CD45 mRNA expression and determine if Golden retrievers without clinical lymphoma have an increased frequency of circulating TZ cells. Gene expression analysis on confirmed TZL cases showed a significant decrease in CD45 expression compared to normal dogs. Peripheral blood samples from senior dogs, 242 Golden retrievers and 42 non-Golden retrievers, without evidence of lymphoproliferative disease were assessed for the presence of TZ cells by flow cytometry. Thirty-one percent of Golden retrievers had TZ cells compared to 14% of non-Golden retrievers. Thirty-four percent of Golden retrievers with TZ cells had a clonal T cell receptor gamma (TRG) gene rearrangement. Interestingly, 20% of Golden retrievers without TZ cells also had a clonal TRG rearrangement. Golden retrievers may have an increased risk of TZL due to an increased frequency of TZ cells.

Posterior condylar offset is an independent predictor of functional outcome after revision total knee arthroplasty.

OBJECTIVES: Preservation of posterior condylar offset (PCO) has been shown to correlate with improved functional results after primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Whether this is also the case for revision TKA, remains unknown. The aim of this study was to assess the independent effect of PCO on early functional outcome after revision TKA. METHODS: A total of 107 consecutive aseptic revision TKAs were performed by a single surgeon during an eight-year period. The mean age was 69.4 years (39 to 85) and there were 59 female patients and 48 male patients. The Oxford Knee Score (OKS) and Short-form (SF)-12 score were assessed pre-operatively and one year post-operatively. Patient satisfaction was also assessed at one year. Joint line and PCO were assessed radiographically at one year. RESULTS: There was a significant improvement in the OKS (10.6 points, 95% confidence interval (CI) 8.8 to 12.3) and the SF-12 physical component score (5.9, 95% CI 4.1 to 7.8). PCO directly correlated with change in OKS (p < 0.001). Linear regression analysis confirmed the independent effect of PCO on the OKS (p < 0.001) and the SF-12 physical score (p = 0.02). The overall rate of satisfaction was 85% and on logistic regression analysis improvement in the OKS (p = 0.002) was a significant predictor of patient satisfaction, which is related to PCO; although this was not independently associated with satisfaction. CONCLUSION: Preservation of PCO should be a major consideration when undertaking revision TKA. The option of increasing PCO to balance the flexion gap while maintaining the joint line should be assessed intra-operatively.Cite this article: N. D. Clement, D. J. MacDonald, D. F. Hamilton, R. Burnett. Posterior condylar offset is an independent predictor of functional outcome after revision total knee arthroplasty. Bone Joint Res 2017;6:172-178. DOI: 10.1302/2046-3758.63.BJR-2015-0021.R1.

A patient's perception of their hospital stay influences the functional outcome and satisfaction of total knee arthroplasty.

INTRODUCTION: To assess whether patient satisfaction with their hospital stay influences the early outcome of total knee arthroplasty (TKA). METHODS: During a 5-year period patients undergoing primary TKA at the study centre had prospective outcome data recorded (n = 2264). The Oxford knee score (OKS) and the short form (SF)-12 were recorded pre-operatively and 1 year post-operatively when satisfaction with their TKA was also assessed. Patient satisfaction with their hospital stay was also evaluated and their reasons for it were qualitatively documented. RESULTS: Decreasing level of satisfaction with their hospital stay was associated with a significantly worse post-operative OKS (p < 0.001) and SF-12 score (p < 0.001). Multivariable regression analysis confirmed that the patient's perceived level of satisfaction with their hospital stay was an independent predictor of change in the OKS (p < 0.001) and SF-12 score (p < 0.006) after adjusting for confounding variables. Patient satisfaction with their TKA was significantly influenced by their hospital experience, decreasing from 96% in those with an excellent experience to 42% in those with a poor experience. Food, staff/care, and the hospital environment were the most frequent reasons of why patients rated their hospital experience as fair or poor. CONCLUSION: A patient's perception of their inpatient hospital experience after surgery is an important modifiable predictor of early functional outcome and satisfaction with TKA.

Dealing with the predicted increase in demand for revision total knee arthroplasty: challenges, risks and opportunities.

Worldwide rates of primary and revision total knee arthroplasty (TKA) are rising due to increased longevity of the population and the burden of osteoarthritis. Revision TKA is a technically demanding procedure generating outcomes which are reported to be inferior to those of primary knee arthroplasty, and with a higher risk of complication. Overall, the rate of revision after primary arthroplasty is low, but the number of patients currently living with a TKA suggests a large potential revision healthcare burden. Many patients are now outliving their prosthesis, and consideration must be given to how we are to provide the necessary capacity to meet the rising demand for revision surgery and how to maximise patient outcomes. The purpose of this review was to examine the epidemiology of, and risk factors for, revision knee arthroplasty, and to discuss factors that may enhance patient outcomes.

Implant design influences patient outcome after total knee arthroplasty: a prospective double-blind randomised controlled trial.

Total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is an established and successful procedure. However, the design of prostheses continues to be modified in an attempt to optimise the functional outcome of the patient. The aim of this study was to determine if patient outcome after TKA was influenced by the design of the prosthesis used. A total of 212 patients (mean age 69; 43 to 92; 131 female (62%), 81 male (32%)) were enrolled in a single centre double-blind trial and randomised to receive either a Kinemax (group 1) or a Triathlon (group 2) TKA. Patients were assessed pre-operatively, at six weeks, six months, one year and three years after surgery. The outcome assessments used were the Oxford Knee Score; range of movement; pain numerical rating scales; lower limb power output; timed functional assessment battery and a satisfaction survey. Data were assessed incorporating change over all assessment time points, using repeated measures analysis of variance longitudinal mixed models. Implant group 2 showed a significantly greater range of movement (p = 0.009), greater lower limb power output (p = 0.026) and reduced report of 'worst daily pain' (p = 0.003) over the three years of follow-up. Differences in Oxford Knee Score (p = 0.09), report of 'average daily pain' (p = 0.57) and timed functional performance tasks (p = 0.23) did not reach statistical significance. Satisfaction with outcome was significantly better in group 2 (p = 0.001). These results suggest that patient outcome after TKA can be influenced by the prosthesis used.

Mega prosthetic distal femoral arthroplasty for non-tumour indications: does the indication affect the functional outcome and survivorship?

PURPOSE: To report the functional outcome, implant survival, and patient mortality after mega prosthetic distal femoral arthroplasty according to the surgical indication. METHODS: A prospective database was compiled for 45 consecutive patients undergoing distal femoral arthroplasty, of which 26 had fractures of the distal femur (group 1) and 19 underwent revision of a total knee arthroplasty (group 2). There were 17 males and 28 females with a median age of 74.5 years. Short form (SF)-12 scores were recorded pre-operatively (before the fracture or revision) and 1 year post-operatively, at which point a Toronto Extremity Salvage Score (TESS) was also obtained. Length of hospital stay and return to place of domicile was obtained from the hospital database. Mortality status was obtained from the General Register Office for Scotland. No patient was lost to follow-up. RESULTS: The 1-year physical (52.4) and mental (63.4) components of the SF-12 score and the TESS (70.5 %) did not significantly differ between the groups (n.s.). The fracture group, however, had a longer length of stay (8 vs. 19 days, p = 0.001) and were also less likely to return to their original domicile (odds ratio 9.5, p = 0.02). The overall implant survival rate was 85 % at 5 years, which was worse for the fracture group (80 vs. 90 %, n.s.). The 5-year mortality rate for the revision group was 17 %, whereas the fracture group demonstrated a greater mortality rate of 43 % (n.s.). CONCLUSION: The functional outcome, revision rate, and mortality of patients undergoing distal femoral arthroplasty for non-tumour reasons are not influenced by indication, but patients undergoing surgery for fractures of the distal femur have a longer length of stay and are less likely to return home. Distal femoral arthroplasty should be considered as a management option for non-tumour salvage procedures of the distal femur. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Retrospective comparative study, Level III.

Post-operative Oxford knee score can be used to indicate whether patient expectations have been achieved after primary total knee arthroplasty.

PURPOSE: The aim of this study was to identify threshold values in the post-operative Oxford knee score (OKS) and change in the score for achievement of specific patient expectations and satisfaction, and whether failure to meet specific patient expectations influenced the rate of satisfaction after total knee arthroplasty (TKA). METHODS: Prospectively complied data for 322 primary TKA were used. Patient demographics, and pre- and post-operative (1 year) OKS, and expectation fulfilment were collected. Patient satisfaction was also assessed 1 year post-operatively. RESULTS: Patient pre-operative expectations varied in prevalence and differed according to gender, age, and severity of knee symptoms according the OKS. Fulfilment of patient expectations was variable and was dependent upon the specific expectation; the majority of patients achieved their expectation of pain relief and improved ability to walk (>70%), however, few fulfilled their expectation to kneel or squat (<25%). The threshold according to the post-operative OKS at which these expectations were achieved varied by more than ten points, ranging from ≥31 for pain relief to ≥42 for kneeling. Failure to fulfil patient expectations, for 15 of the 17 assessed, significantly increased the risk of dissatisfaction at 1 year (p < 0.05). CONCLUSION: The post-operative OKS can be used to predict the point at which the greatest proportion of patient expectations is achieved. Some expectations, however, are rarely fulfilled after a TKA and patients should be made aware of this pre-operatively which may improve their satisfaction post-operatively. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Retrospective comparative study, Level III.

Pyoderma Gangrenosum in Revision Total Hip Arthroplasty: Clinical and Histopathological Findings with a Seven-Year Follow-up: A Case Report.

CASE: We describe the clinical and histopathological findings associated with a case of pyoderma gangrenosum (PG) after revision total hip arthroplasty. The patient developed an expanding purple-red, necrotic, ulcerative lesion at the surgical site, which was initially suspected to be either a surgical-site infection or warfarin-induced skin necrosis. After treatment with empiric intravenous antibiotics, surgical debridement, and vacuum-assisted closure of the wound, the patient had a painless hip with a remodeled scar and was asymptomatic at the seven-year follow-up. CONCLUSION: Confirmation of the diagnosis of surgical-site PG requires clinical-pathological correlation and familiarity with the PG skin lesion. Treatment of PG differs from treatment of infection; therefore, misdiagnosis and surgical treatment may exacerbate the clinical findings in PG.

The identification and quantification of instability in a primary total knee replacement prior to revision.

Instability is the reason for revision of a primary total knee replacement (TKR) in 20% of patients. To date, the diagnosis of instability has been based on the patient's symptoms and a subjective clinical assessment. We assessed whether a measured standardised forced leg extension could be used to quantify instability. A total of 25 patients (11 male/14 female, mean age 70 years; 49 to 85) who were to undergo a revision TKR for instability of a primary implant were assessed with a Nottingham rig pre-operatively and then at six and 26 weeks post-operatively. Output was quantified (in revolutions per minute (rpm)) by accelerating a stationary flywheel. A control group of 183 patients (71 male/112 female, mean age 69 years) who had undergone primary TKR were evaluated for comparison. Pre-operatively, all 25 patients with instability exhibited a distinctive pattern of reduction in 'mid-push' speed. The mean reduction was 55 rpm (sd 33.2). Post-operatively, no patient exhibited this pattern and the reduction in 'mid-push' speed was 0 rpm. The change between pre- and post-operative assessment was significant (p < 0.001). No patients in the control group exhibited this pattern at any of the intervals assessed. The between-groups difference was also significant (p < 0.001). This suggests that a quantitative diagnostic test to assess the unstable primary TKR could be developed.